Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Konstantins Benkovskis
Author-X-Name-First: Konstantins
Author-X-Name-Last: Benkovskis
Author-Workplace-Name: Latvijas Banka
Author-Name: Jaanika Merikull
Author-X-Name-First: Jaanika
Author-X-Name-Last: Merikull
Author-Workplace-Name: Eesti Pank
Author-Name: Aurelija Proskute
Author-X-Name-First: Aurelija
Author-X-Name-Last: Proskute
Author-Workplace-Name: Lietuvos bankas
Title: The transmission of trade shocks across countries: firm-level evidence from the Covid-19 crisis
Abstract: This paper studies the margins and heterogeneity of adjustments to trade shocks by estimating how Covid-19 restrictions affected imports and exports. We use data from Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia on foreign trade at the level of the firm and the partner country and at monthly frequency from January 2019 to December 2020. The focus is on the short-term adjustment and on the first wave of the pandemic. We find that the adjustment to the restrictions mostly occurs through the intensive margin, meaning trade values are reduced rather than trade in cer- tain markets or products ceasing. It is further observed that quantity played a more important role in the adjustment process than prices and that both upstream and downstream restrictions played an equally important role in the decline of foreign trade. It is shown that differentiated products that are difficult to replace are responsible for this adjustment pattern.
Creation-Date: 2024-01-12
File-URL: https://datnes.latvijasbanka.lv/papers/WP_1-2024.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
Number: 2024/01
Classification-JEL: F14, F61, D22
Keywords: transmission of shocks, input-output linkages, global value chains, Covid-19, workplace closing
Handle: RePEc:ltv:wpaper:202401